On Tuesday night in New Hampshire, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie announced he was running for president. But the announcement came about 12 years too late. Since passing on a presidential...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/chris-christie-2024-republican-primary/
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): We’re still more than three years away from November 2024,...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-way-too-early-2024-republican-presidential-primary-draft/
“The answer is no,” Joe Biden told NPR in a November 2017 interview. “I have no plans on running in 2020.” But Biden refused to entirely rule out the possibility of a presidential bid, te...
Congressional Republicans are likely to push through their tax policy legislation next week — but they should be getting a little nervous. Here’s the most likely scenario for the next few day...
The information that came to light on Monday — the indictment of President Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort and campaign official Rick Gates, and the guilty plea entered by forme...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/most-gop-senators-kept-mum-about-the-mueller-indictments/
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/gop-convention-day-three-election-2016/
Marco Rubio’s decision to run for re-election to his U.S. Senate seat, which he announced Wednesday morning, gives Republicans a boost in their bid to retain control of the Senate. But it also ...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/rubios-best-route-to-the-white-house-may-be-through-the-senate/
Republican voters have rallied behind Donald Trump. House Speaker Paul Ryan has endorsed him after a few weeks of dithering, and Sen. Marco Rubio, who once called Trump a “con man,” has offer...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-makes-a-gop-leader-resist-trump/
This is our weekly politics newsletter, Conventional Wisdom, covering the wild and wacky world of Donald Trump’s Republican Party. (Sign up here.) We’ll dispense with the pleasantries this we...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/conventional-wisdom-rubio-flip-flops-onto-the-trump-bandwagon/
On March 23, 2015, Ted Cruz officially kicked off the Republican presidential primary by entering the race. “I believe in the power of millions of courageous conservatives rising up to reignite...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-republican-field-dwindled-from-17-to-donald-trump/
On Feb. 21, a day after Jeb Bush ended his bid for the GOP presidential nomination, it seemed as though the highest-ranking members of the Republican Party had finally found a reason to coalesce ...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-huge-number-of-gop-leaders-arent-endorsing-this-year/
For this week’s politics Slack chat, we consider what the Republican and Democratic races might look like Wednesday morning, depending on what voters do in Ohio, Florida, Missouri, Illinois and...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/how-will-tonights-primaries-affect-the-presidential-race/
In a rare and candid interview in October, the top consultant to the pro-Jeb Bush super PAC Right to Rise USA laid out his theory of the GOP race. Mike Murphy told Bloomberg’s Sasha Issenberg, ...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-establishment-lane-may-have-always-been-a-dead-end/
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
This could be it, folks. The Republican presidential primary may be settled — or at least a lot clearer — on Tuesday. Republicans will vote in six contests. Donald Trump is looking to stay on...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-republican-primary-preview/
March 15 has long looked like the most pivotal date on the GOP primary calendar. And although Florida and Ohio are hogging the spotlight because they are the sites of Marco Rubio and John Kasich�...
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/cnn-republican-debate-presidential-election-2016/
Words matter in politics, and those words are chosen carefully. In the age of televised debates, campaigns draft and poll-test talking points. Then, like any good sales team, they hammer them hom...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/these-are-the-phrases-each-gop-candidate-repeats-most/
The good news for the Republican “establishment” is that there’s a man who might be able to stop Donald Trump. The bad news is that it’s Ted Cruz, someone they may dislike almost as much....
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ted-cruz-might-still-be-able-to-stop-donald-trump/
Except in the improbable event that he comes back to win the Republican nomination, Marco Rubio is likely to become a political idiom. As Mike Huckabee is synonymous with a candidate who wins Iow...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/marco-rubio-never-had-a-base/