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Unforced Variations: May 2024
This month’s open thread on climate topics. Many eyes will be focused on whether April temperatures will be the 11th month in row of records… Note that we have updated the data and figures fr...
Much ado about acceleration
There has been a lot of commentary about perceived disagreements among climate scientists about whether climate change is, or will soon, accelerate. As with most punditry, there is less here than...
Unforced variations: Apr 2024
This month’s open thread on climate topics. Lots more discussion about 2023, aerosols, heat content and imbalances to come I expect… Note, comments should be substantive even if you are argui...
More solar shenanigans*
It turns out the solar activity reconstruction beloved by contrarians is full of artifacts, and if it's updated, it's singular nature disappears. The post More solar shenanigans* first appeare...
Unforced variations: March 2024
The month’s open thread on climate topics. More record monthly warmth, but only the second lowest Antarctic sea ice though (growing since 2023!). The post Unforced variations: March 2024 fir...
New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”
A new paper was published in Science Advances today. Its title says what it is about: “Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course.” The study follows one by Danis...
Unforced variations: Feb 2024
This month’s open thread for climate topics. This month’s climate highlight will likely be the PACE launch at some point between Feb 6th and Feb 8th, that will hopefully provide information o...
Spencer’s Shenanigans
A recent sensible-sounding piece by Roy Spencer for the Heritage foundation is full of misrepresentations. Let's play spot the fallacy. The post Spencer’s Shenanigans first appeared on RealC...
Not just another dot on the graph? Part II
Annual updates to the model-observation comparisons for 2023 are now complete. The comparisons encompass surface air temperatures, mid-troposphere temperatures (global and tropical, and ‘correc...
Not just another dot on the graph?
As the climate monitoring groups add an additional dot to their graphs this week, there is some disquiet among people paying attention about just how extraordinary 2023 really was. The post Not...