previous book, Superintelligence, triggered expressions of concern. In his latest work, he describes his hopes for the distant
This is the first blog post of it's kind that I have seen on the Internet. WBE is a big deal, so it's exciting to see investors taking the idea seriously. Thank you for the information and perspe...
in 2008, I criticized the book Predictocracy for proposing prediction markets whose contracts would be resolved without reference to ground
of videos on the topic that are informative and entertaining. I also recommend reading this blog post if you want a detailed
https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2021/05/21/ageless/comment-page-1/#comment-1729814
advocated this kind of approach a decade ago, then forgot about it. I’m glad to see it being
had previously blogged about a paper that he co-authored with Henrich on cultural influences on IQ. If those ideas were new in the book, I’d be eagerly writing about them. But I’ve
Skies is an opposite of Where Is My Flying Car? in both style and
I realize now that some of this post was influenced by a post that I'd forgotten reading: https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2023/11/16/when-will-ais-develop-long-term-planning/comment-page-1/#comment-1729808
the US had less to gain from global trade. I’d frame it more along the lines talked about in Where Is My Flying Car?: in the absence of a major external enemy, Americans shifted away from the ...
insurance and strict liability no longer appear to create large risks of amounting to a total ban on development, so it’s