Updates, research, and fundraising
http://aiimpacts.org/ai-impacts-quarterly-newsletter-jan-mar-2023/
The history of geoengineering, nuclear power, and human challenge trials suggest that social norms and regulation exert powerful forces on the use of technology.
http://aiimpacts.org/what-weve-learned-so-far-from-our-technological-temptations-project/
Chaos theory allows us to rigorously show that there are ceilings on our abilities to make some prediction. This post introduces an investigation which explores the relationship between chaos and...
A redefinition of the second is a foolproof way to increase the number of years between nearly any two events.
http://aiimpacts.org/a-policy-guaranteed-to-increase-ai-timelines/
The uncertainty in the location of the pinball grows by a factor of about 5 every time the ball collides with one of the disks. After 12 bounces, an initial uncertainty in position the size of an...
Every survey respondent's guess about the future, lined up by expectation of the worst.
http://aiimpacts.org/how-bad-a-future-do-ml-researchers-expect/
ChatGPT had unusually fast user growth, but it did not set a record.
http://aiimpacts.org/how-popular-is-chatgpt-part-2-slower-growth-than-pokemon-go/
Patrick Levermore, 1 March 2023 Summary This document looks at the predictions made by AI experts in The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI, analyses the predictions on ‘Narrow tasks’, an...
http://aiimpacts.org/scoring-forecasts-from-the-2016-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/
What does search volume tell us about public attention on ChatGPT and AI in general?
http://aiimpacts.org/how-popular-is-chatgpt-part-1-more-popular-than-taylor-swift/