In reply to Silent_Partner. Yes! That's it. Thank you.
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90667
In reply to EbeSnoozer. Think you're referring to both the Rand poll and Yougov, which...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90651
I'm confused as to why he would release exact numbers like that. If I understand statistics correctly (big "if" here), then I would have expected a more reasonable prediction would be like: "The ...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90444
As I read the results of the UK election, the difference between polls and actual results mainly arises because of the distribution of voters. It's analogous to the US electoral college situation...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90424
In reply to snickering. ★✩★✩Run business at Home with Google Tech@nn16::: ,...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90402
With the Internet, polls are obsolete.
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90367
In reply to EbeSnoozer. I think the headline is reasonable consider Nate Silver does b...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90302
In reply to woodt. Well yes, but beside the point. "Blames polls" is classic charged l...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90299
In reply to woodt. ➼➼➼Run business at Home with Google Tech@nn8::: ➨➨➨�...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90285
While the old British saying "It's a shoddy craftsman who blames his tools" springs to mind, Nate, as well as the other prediction sites (electoralcalculus.co.uk etc) and the betting markets all ...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90275
In reply to RM. I fail to see anything that Mr Goddard has done that should offend you...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90262
"Blames polls' is charged language, Mr. Goddard. I used to come here because you were neutral. I know you know the difference.
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90252
The Moon of Alabama blog is asserting that the close polls in the Israeli and UK elections were manipulated by the eventual winners to drive up turnout. http://www.moonofalabama.org/2015/05/using...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90238
It wasn't even Nate Silver making the predictions, IIRC. He just set aside space on his website for a UK forecaster that made the poor forecast. There are structural differences in the way electi...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90198
So the polls were skewed!!!!
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90190
So the polls were skewed!!!
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90189
In reply to APV. ★★★★ Run business at Home with Google Tech@nm15::: ,,,, �...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90175
In reply to jon_downfromthetrees. shy tories, they're called
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90167
May be it is time for Pollsters to use alternative means to discern public opinion. May be use social media to spot changes in trends. Something like a recent heatmap analysis by Wash Post of bas...
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90161
If people were honest with the pollsters -- a big 'if' -- then it seems a lot of people changed their minds in the last 24 hours. A gift to the punditocracy, though.
https://politicalwire.com/2015/05/08/nate-silver-blames-polls-for-poor-forecast/#comment-90141