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Just ONE MAGA Juror is All TRUMP Needs (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Did Trump blow it on abortion? ... Does the hush money trial jury have a secret Trump partisan? ... Is Mike Johnson Choosing Reagan over Trump? ... Should Sotomayor retire? ...
How Iran’s Attack Benefits Israel (Robert Wright & Joshua Landis)
Why Iran’s attack on Israel was an “own goal” ... Did Iran minimize casualties on purpose? ... The rising odds of Israel attacking Iran directly ... America’s contradictory relationship w...
Daniel Kahneman and the Rationalists (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Why Paul’s eclipse experience eclipsed Bob’s ... Remembering pioneering psychologist Daniel Kahneman ... Bob fails gender affirmation test ... Has the “replication crisis” tainted Kahnema...
Can Abortion Sink Trump? (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Are Republican Trump critics returning to the GOP fold? ... Has Trump threaded the needle on abortion? ... Can Biden shift the nation's attention to abortion? ...
Biden’s Israel Problem (Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner)
A brief message from Bob ... Derek and Danny stumble into Bob’s Zoom room ... Israel’s doubly out-of-control week ... How Biden's Gaza failures will shape the Democratic Party ... Biden’s p...
AI, Rationalism, and the “Great Filter” (Robert Wright & Robin Hanson)
Robin’s history of thinking about the future ... Seeing AI as offspring, not adversary ... Robin’s famous answer to a great cosmic mystery ... Would evidence of aliens be good news or bad? .....
The Cosmic Thought of Pierre Teilhard de Chardin (Robert Wright & Ilia Delio)
Ilia’s background ... Things to know about the noosphere ... Teilhard’s transgressive theological and scientific thought ... Does AI suggest a “transcendent nature to nature”? ... The Tei...
RFK Jr.'s Bad VEEP Pick (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Matt's X spat with Ric Grenell ... The importance of narrative framing ... Should NBC have hired/fired Ronna McDaniel? ... How awful is RFK Jr.'s VP pick? ...
Meditation Tips for Beginners (and Non-Beginners) (Robert Wright & Kathryn Devaney)
Kati’s unusual niche ... How Covid changed meditation ... Kati: The optimal amount of meditation is… ... Is focusing on the breath overblown? ... AI as a spiritual challenge ... Meditation an...
What Does Putin Want? (Robert Wright & Nikolay and Kirill)
Are Nikolay and Kirill satisfied with the "special military operation"? ... Why have Russians become more supportive of the war effort? ... Kirill defends the RWA tweet that unsettled Bob ... US ...
America’s Blood Bath (and Beyond) (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)
What did Trump mean by "bloodbath"? ... Trump doesn't want you to remember 2020 ... Does Bernie Moreno have the edge over Sherrod Brown? ...
Elon and Altman: Dueling Messiahs (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Paul’s Substack: small potatoes or some pumpkins? ... Elon sours on Lemon—is ketamine to blame? ... The enduring enigma that is Elon Musk ... Is Altman overdramatizing the AI #Resistance? ......
The Open Source AI Question (Robert Wright & Nathan Labenz)
Nathan’s role as “AI scout” ... What "open source" in AI really means ... Why the secrecy around AI training data? ... What’s actually “open” about OpenAI? ... The case for and agains...
Can TikTok Survive? (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)
Should TikTok be banned? ... Why did Ken Buck quit? ... Will the Hur report hurt Biden? ... Is Biden's new ad any good? ...
Biden’s Gaza Failures (Robert Wright & Daniel Levy)
Should Biden pursue regime change in Israel? ... How the White House mishandled Netanyahu's far-right government ... Daniel: “Israel has lost this war” ... What a ceasefire deal would look li...
Kyrsten Sinema Says Goodbye (Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis)
Did Super Tuesday tell us anything? ... What should Biden do in the SOTU? ... Is Trump losing it? ... Did Sinema's retirement mean bipartisanship is dead? ...
Elon v. OpenAI, Google vs Itself (Robert Wright & Timothy B. Lee)
The other Tim B. Lee ... Unpacking the Elon v. OpenAI case ... How did Google’s Gemini go wrong? ... The unsung ingenious side of Gemini ... Is AI a bubble? ... Are some LLM issues insoluble? ....
Nikki Haley Voters Could Sink Trump (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Can Trump win back Haley voters? ... Does it matter how many Democrats vote "Uncommitted" in Michigan? ... Is there any logic to Trump's messaging to African-American voters? ... Do people vote f...
Google’s AI, Biden’s Brain, and Other Enigmas (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Big trouble with Small Potatoes ... What makes a good podcast? ... Google’s AI goes wild(ly woke) ... Is Biden a “super-ager” or just super old? ... On the psychology of self-immolation ......
Does AI Understand Things? (Robert Wright & Gary Marcus)
Gary’s background and place in the AI world ... Are Gary’s views on AI paradoxical? ... Bob: Searle’s Chinese Room argument is dead ... Have LLMs demonstrated "theory of mind"? ... Arguing ...
What Navalny Meant (Robert Wright & Nikita Petrov)
Nikita’s memories of Navalny’s emergence as a political force ... The time Nikita was detained for protesting election fraud ... Navalny’s success as a political organizer ... What did Nava...
Ukraine’s War, Putin’s Worldview (Robert Wright & Leonid Ragozin)
What MSM missed about Carlsons' Putin interview ... Putin’s litany of grievances against the West ... Russia gets the upper hand in Ukraine ... Why Zelensky hasn’t paved the way for peace tal...
Is the 'Age' Issue Old News? (Matt K. Lewis & Matt K. Lewis)
Does the NY-03 special election have national import? ... Will the special counsel report sink Joe Biden? ... Was Jon Stewart's monologue on the mark? ...
Inside the Mind of AI (Robert Wright & Nora Belrose)
Nora’s low score on the AI doomer test ... The messy math of AI alignment ... Teaching and (unteaching) concepts to LLMS ... Do we really want human-like AI? ... How the AI “mind” works ......
Conspiracy Theories and True Fictions (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Bob’s bad newsletter news for Paul ... Fast Car's moving Grammy moment ... Music, female orgasms, and other evolutionary enigmas ... The Moral Animal turns 30—how has it aged? ... How AI (bar...
GOP Chaos (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
The import of Chapman-Combs ... "An embarrassing day for Republicans" ... How immigration wrecked the GOP ... What's Nikki Haley doing? ... The 3rd party X factor ...
The Truth About Effective Altruism (Robert Wright & Robert Wiblin)
Effective altruism (EA) and Rob’s 80,000 Hours podcast ... BF’s fall = EA’s public relations problem ... What went wrong for (and with) SBF? ... Virtue as a utilitarian shortcut ... What dr...
What’s Next for Gaza and Israel? (Robert Wright, Derek Davison, and Daniel Bessner)
Another high-synergy collaborative episode ... Do mainstream Israelis support ethnic cleansing? ... Biden’s electoral (mis?)calculations on Israel-Palestine ... What does a left-wing foreign po...
Rightwing Paranoia and Taylor Swift (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Why do conservatives think the NFL is working with the Deep State? ... Can the border-Ukraine deal pass Congress? ... Who will Trump pick as VP? ...
An Israeli Looks at Gaza (Robert Wright & Russ Roberts)
How Israelis think about civilian casualties in Gaza ... Is the war spawning a new generation of terrorists? ... Explaining versus justifying bad behavior ... Can Hamas and other extremist groups...
Gaza, Biden, Political AI, and Other Problems (Earthling Unplugged) (Robert Wright & Andrew Day)
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It's Trump's Party (Matt K. Lewis & Bill Scher)
Why there was so much wishcasting analysis about Nikki Haley ... Was Trump always going to be the nominee? ... Why the electability argument failed ... Why the ageist argument failed ...
Claudine Gay, MLK, and GLENN'S NEW BOOK (Glenn Loury & John McWhorter)
Preorder Glenn’s forthcoming memoir, Late Admissions: Confessions of a Black Conservative ... Why Glenn wrote a memoir (and why you should order it now) ... A ringing endorsement from John ... ...
The Biden-Trump Catastrophe (Robert Wright & Mickey Kaus)
Fear and loathing on the campaign trail 2024 ... Haley’s shortcomings, Trump’s cognitive decline ... Who’s the perfect Democrat to run against Biden? ... How Biden could stop the Gaza war ....
Wuhan Lab Leak, Effective Altruism, and Other Media-distorted Issues (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Bob saves Paul from some very bad influences ... What makes Hitler more evil than Stalin and Mao? ... New lab leak evidence—what will come of it? ... Correcting the record on effective altruism...